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“Paroling people who committed serious crimes: What is the actual risk?”, Dec 2014
Citizens Alliance on Prisons & Public Spending
Michigan MDOC sex offenders paroled from 2007 through the first quarter of 2010
A study of 4,109 people who had been serving for a sex offense, 32 (0.8 percent) returned to prison for a new sex offense.
Sex Crime Return to Incarceration: 0.8% (less than 1 percent)
“Sex Offender Recidivism in Connecticut”, 2012
State of Connecticut, Office of Policy & Management
Study of 746 Male Offenders released from prison in 2005 – 5-year study
Re-arrest rate: 3.6% after 5-year follow-up
Re-conviction: 2.7% after 5-year follow-up
“A Model of Static and Dynamic Sex Offender Risk Assessment”, 2011
Vermont Department of Corrections
Study of 759 adult male offenders under community supervision
Re-arrest rate: 4.6% after 3-year follow-up
“Sexual Assault Trends & Sex Offender Recidivism in Maine”, 2010
Maine Statistical Analysis Center, USM Muskie School of Public Service
Study of 552 Male Offenders released from prison between 2004 and 2008
Re-conviction: 3.8% after 3-year follow-up
Medical University of South Carolina
Study of 490 Male Offenders over a mean follow-up period of 8.4 years
Re-arrest rate: 8%
Re-conviction: 4%
“Adult Institutions Outcome Evaluation Report”, 2010
California Department of Corrections And Rehabilitation
Study of 7,011 Male Sex Offenders released from prison
Re-conviction: 5% after 3-year follow-up
“Improving State Criminal History Records: Recidivism of Sex Offenders Released in 2001”, 2009
Justice Research & Statistics Association
A Study of recidivism rates for 2,493 sex offenders released from prison in 9 states in 2001 – a 3-year follow-up study
Recidivism rates: AK 3.4%, AZ 2.3%, DE 3.8%, IL 2.4%, IA 3.9%,
NM 1.8%, SC 4%, TN 0%, UT 9%
“Recidivism of Alaska Sex Offenders”, 2008
Alaska Justice Forum, University of Alaska, Anchorage
A Study of 232 Offenders released from prison in 2001 - a 3-year follow-up study
Re-arrest rate: 3.4%
“Recidivism of Paroled Sex Offenders – Ten (10) Year Study”, 2008
California Sex Offender Management Board
A Study of 3,577 sex offenders released from CDCR prisons in 1997 and followed through the end of 2007
Returned to Custody due to new sex offense: 3.38%
“Recidivism Rates Compared 2005 – 2007”, 2008
Indiana Department of Correction
A Study of 339 sex offenders released from IDOC facilities in 2002, 382 released in 2003 and 387 released in 2004 and followed for 3 years
Recidivism rates: 2002 – 5.3%; 2003 – 5.2%; 2004 – 5.7%
“Sex Offender Populations, Recidivism and Actuarial Assessment”, 2007
New York State Division of Probation and Correctional Alternatives
A Study of 19,827 offenders on the New York State registry on March 31, 2005 that examined recidivism up to 8 years from time of registration date
Recidivism Rate: 8%
“Sex Offender Recidivism”, 2007
Arizona Department of Corrections
A study of 3,205 sex offenders released from Arizona correctional facilities over a 15-year period between 1984 and 1998 with an average follow-up period of 6.85 years.
Recidivism Rate: 5.5%
“Sex Offender Recidivism in Minnesota”, 2007
Minnesota Department of Corrections
A study of 3,166 sex offenders released from Minnesota Correctional Facilities between 1990 and 2002 with an average follow-up period of 8.4 years
Re-arrest rate: 12%
Re-Conviction Rate: 10%
Re-incarceration: 7%
“Criminal Recidivism in Alaska”, 2007
Alaska Judicial Council
A Study that included 162 sex offenders charged and convicted of a sexual offense in 1999 and examined for 3 years following release
Re-Conviction Rate: 3%
“Sex Offender Sentencing in Washington State: Recidivism Rates”, 2005
Washington State Institute for Public Policy
A study of 4,091 sex offenders either released from prison or community supervision form 1994 to 1998 and examined for 5 years
Sex Crime Recidivism Rate: 2.7%
“Recidivism of Sex Offenders Released from Prison in 1994”, 2003
United States Department of Justice, Bureau of Justice Statistics
A Study of 9,691 sex offenders released from prisons in 15 states in 1994 and followed for 3 years.
Sex Crime Re-arrest Rate: 5.3%
Sex Crime Re-conviction Rate: 3.5%
“Ten Year Recidivism Follow-up of 1989 Sex Offender Releases”, 2001
Ohio Department of Rehabilitation and Correction
A study of 879 sex offenders released from prison in 1989 and followed for 10 years
Sex Crime Return to Incarceration: 8%
Sexually Related Parole Violations: 3%